Local Statement for Jacksonville, FL

Hurricane Dorian Storm Track
Issued at 510 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2019
Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 36
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052019
510 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2019

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**CATEGORY 5 DORIAN CONTINUES TO HAVE DEVASTATING IMPACTS ON GRAND 
BAHAMA ISLAND** 

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Inland Flagler and Inland 
      St. Johns
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for 
      Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal Nassau, and Coastal St. 
      Johns
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Clay, Eastern Marion, 
      Inland Duval, Inland Nassau, and Putnam

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 330 miles southeast of Jacksonville FL
    - 26.6N 78.2W
    - Storm Intensity 165 mph
    - Movement West or 270 degrees at 1 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Major Hurricane Dorian will continue to move very slowly west across
the northern Bahamas and then turn northwest just off the Florida east
coast by early Tuesday. Dorian is forecast to parallel the coastline
Tuesday into Wednesday. 

Listen to local officials and heed evacuation orders as given. Large
battering waves and higher than normal tides will add to the
destructive potential, along with beach erosion. 

Heavy rainfall is forecast over east central Florida with total
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with maximum isolated rainfall amounts
to 9 inches along the east coast. Flash flooding is possible,
especially in urban and poorly drained areas. 

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts
across the beaches of northeast Florida and into the mouth of the 
St Johns River. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding 
      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, 
      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating 
      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads 
      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and 
      barriers may become stressed.
    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many 
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in 
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts 
across coastal northeast Florida including Flagler, St Johns, coastal
Duval and coastal Nassau Counties. Potential impacts in this area 
include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having 
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural 
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. 
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be 
      uninhabitable for weeks. 
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and 
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and 
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to 
significant impacts across inland Nassau, inland Duval, Clay, Putnam 
and eastern Marion Counties.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 
limited impacts across Flagler, St Johns, Duval and Nassau Counties. 
Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. 
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen 
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually 
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water 
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become 
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge 
      closures. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, 
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so 
immediately. 

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, 
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move, 
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep 
roadways open for those under evacuation orders. 

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time 
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle 
ahead of time.

Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose 
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving. 

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic 
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies 
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your 
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the 
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging 
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the 
center of the storm. 

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large 
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or 
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as 
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor 
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to 
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that 
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of 
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded 
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of 
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness 
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for 
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away 
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital 
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are 
unable to make personal preparations.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 
Service in Jacksonville FL around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$